Daily Oil Fundamentals

Buy the Rumour, Sell the Fact

15 Jan 2026

Buy the Rumour, Sell the Fact

The risk to oil prices coming from geopolitical instability is very much on full display again this morning as the developments in Iran, so very much part of the driving force behind the recent rally, have taken a much less anxious turn overnight. After promising “help is on its way”, giving an expectation of a US military intervention, the US President has turned the oil market’s mood by saying he has received assurances that killings of demonstrators in Iran had stopped.

Daily Oil Fundamentals

Iran Fears Dominate Action

14 Jan 2026

Iran Fears Dominate Action

Oil market players are more anxious about losing Iranian barrels than gaining Venezuelan ones. As Tehran and other major cities are engulfed in flames amid anti-government riots, the US President has encouraged protesters to persevere, declaring that “HELP IS ON ITS WAY.” In what shape or form this support might arrive remains unclear at this stage; however, it is blatantly obvious that significant supply disruptions, whether through attacks on oil infrastructure or the imposition of secondary sanctions on Iranian oil buyers, are not being dismissed.

Daily Oil Fundamentals

What Bubble?

13 Jan 2026

What Bubble?

However one treats the turning of a new year, be it in proposed new attitudes or resolutions, the firebreak has not altered the furore surrounding artificial intelligence. Despite warning after warning of a bubble and the almost bear market witnessed post-liberation day, the Magnificent 7 returned investors between 15 and 66 percent for 2025, and while nuance should be applied to why performances show such a spread, what cannot be denied is that most results were viewed through the prism of A.I. performance and investing.