Daily Oil Fundamentals

A Mixture of Stress and Relief

05 Mar 2026

A Mixture of Stress and Relief

The whipsawing and day-trading attitude our market is experiencing has inevitably led to similar behaviour across all other investment arenas. The importance of the current war in and around Arabian skies is touched upon below, but to see bourse indices moving in degrees of multiple percentage points and sometimes double-figured ones, is almost as unsettling as the conflict itself. Still, Asian markets today open a little more brightly as some of the woes on the horizon are somewhat soothed.

Daily Oil Fundamentals

Proverbial Animal Farm

04 Mar 2026

Proverbial Animal Farm

The Efficient Market Hypothesis holds that asset prices reflect all available information at any given time. As a result, it is not possible to beat the market average on a risk-adjusted basis over the long term. Contrarians argue that temporary mispricing upends this theory, which does not take into account behavioural biases such as greed, fear, or herd behaviour.

Daily Oil Fundamentals

Eerily Familiar

03 Mar 2026

Eerily Familiar

There have now been three game-changing wars within the last four years. The instruction for individuals in Gulf states to ‘shelter at home’, and with no commercial flights carving their vapour trails across the skies of the European, African and Asian juncture, there is also an echo of the Covid years. The worry and dismay humankind feels at such threat is robotically equalled in the sentiment of investment markets, and it matters not how much moola is slopping around in institutions, funds and those made rich from the extraordinary run in stock markets, war brings a whiff of nihilism.